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Showing posts with label Business & Economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Business & Economy. Show all posts

Friday 1 July 2022

A July jolt Handy price checker apps for you

 


Consumers can download them to look for low prices and comparisons

Cooking oil prices are up as of today, so are those of chicken and eggs and it’s going to be a tough few months for consumers. However, economists expect the hard times to ease by the end of the year. Until then, a special task force, which met for the first time yesterday, will try to keep the pain bearable.

What to expect from today:

End of vehicle sales tax exemptions

Subsidy removed for 1kg, 2kg, 3kg and 5kg bottled cooking oil

Subsidy retained for cooking oil in 1kg packets

Increase in pet food prices

New ceiling price of standard chicken at RM9.40 per kg

Retail price of eggs: Grade A: 45sen Grade B: 43sen Grade C: 41sen

Those with driving licences expired on or before Jan 13, 2021, need to retake driving tests

No change in water and electricity tariffs for domestic users in Peninsular Malaysia

Large-scale enforcement against illegal immigrants to start 

As Malaysians brace for price increases in essential food items such as chicken, eggs and cooking oil, local price checker apps may be handy to help find the lowest prices available.

The Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs Ministry is encouraging consumers to download its Price Catcher application, which allows users to view the prices of specific items from various locations and make comparisons.

For example, consumers can check the price for 1kg of chicken thighs and see how they are priced at different locations, such as grocery stores, supermarkets and more.

The prices will be displayed from the lowest to highest. Consumers will get information based on their own location data.

The app also allows users to view prices of goods from various ecommerce stores, though the choices are limited to only three platforms.

According to the ministry in a Facebook post on June 27, the information on the app is updated daily by its price monitoring officers based on checks at various locations.

Price Catcher is free to download from the Google Play Store and Apple App Store. 

Price Catcher - Apps on Google Play /

Price Catcher on the App Store

Another price checker app that consumers can consider is Hargapedia. 

Hargapedia - Compare Price, Check Deals, Get free vouchers

They can check for the prices of items based on specific brands – from online platforms such as Shopee to supermarkets like Jaya Grocer, Giant and Lotus.

The app will display dates to provide validity of the pricing.

The information will also be filtered according to data provided by users such as location, age and income level.

The app can also direct consumers to the online platform so that purchases can be made from the site or outlet.

However, the app does not indicate if an item has sold out. Hence, consumers will only find out once they have been directed to the shopping site.

Full price listings are also only available to users who register on the app.

Hargapedia can be downloaded from the Google Play Store, Apple App Store and Huawei 

- The Star Malaysia

  • by ALLISON LAI, JOSEPH KAOS Jr, JUNAID IBRAHIM, GERARD GIMINO and ANGELIN YEOH 

DOMESTIC LIVESTOCK AND POULTRY PRICES 

 Hike in chicken ceiling price brings relief to many

 “The consumption of chicken and eggs is expected to be resilient despite global inflationary headwinds as they are one of the cheapest sources of protein.” Tan Kam Meng

Source: TA Research and Department of Veterinary Services

 The spike in the average price of meat such as duck, beef and pork in Malaysia, other than chicken, where the price has been kept low via a ceiling price, has led to an even higher demand for chicken, says TA Research. 

The higher ceiling price for broiler chickens and eggs may only provide “slight relief” to Malaysian poultry players, who have been battling margin compression for the past several months.

TA Research analyst Tan Kam Meng described the recently-announced hike in ceiling price for chickens as only “marginal”.

He also said that the increase in ceiling price for chicken from farm is unlikely to completely compensate for the cost borne by the breeders, especially smaller players.

“We believe the leeway for increase in average selling price (ASP) will slightly improve the earnings for both Leong Hup International Bhd and QL Resources Bhd as the input cost seems to have moderated recently.

“We reiterate ‘buy’ on Leong Hup and QL with respective target prices of 89 sen per share and RM6 per share,” stated Tan in a note issued yesterday.

Effective today, chicken will cost RM9.40 a kg, up by 50 sen, based on the new ceiling price set by the Cabinet.

The Cabinet decided not to float the price of chicken, a move that has brought relief to many quarters, especially consumers who are facing the brunt of inflation.

The Cabinet also set the new ceiling price of chicken eggs at 45 sen per egg for Grade A, 43 sen for Grade B and 31 sen for Grade C, all up by two sen each, in Peninsular Malaysia.

The new prices will be in effect until Aug 31.

Tan also said the higher ceiling price came as a compromise, taking into account the inflationary pressure faced by consumers and the increase in feed cost for the suppliers.

He noted that prices have been surging across the board for livestock, mainly due to increased feed price and demand recovery from the reopening of the economy.

The average prices of live ducks, cows and pigs in Malaysia have increased 8% to 32% compared to last year.

The spike in average prices of livestock other than chicken, where the price has been kept low via ceiling price, led to even higher demand for chickens, according to him.

“We remain optimistic on Leong Hup and QL as the increase in poultry’s ASP would provide a boost to profitability of their poultry segment.

“Furthermore, both poultry players are well positioned to capture market share of smaller farmers who left the business.

“The consumption of chicken and eggs is expected to be resilient despite global inflationary headwinds as they are one of the cheapest sources of protein,” he added.

In a separate note, MIDF Research said that new ceiling price would help to limit potentially larger adjustment that would add to the overall food inflation.

It also pointed out that the new ceiling price for chicken at RM9.40 per kg for Peninsular Malaysia is only an increase of 5.6% from the previous ceiling.

“So, this is smaller than the expected increase to around RM10 to RM12 per kg if chicken prices were to be floated.

“Meanwhile, the approval given to the Farmers’ Organisation Authority to bring more than 4,500 tonnes of chicken from Thailand is expected to stabilise chicken supply in the domestic market.

“We expect these measures will limit upward pressure on chicken price for now,” the research house said.

Going forward, MIDF Research foresees the government to continue exploring more initiatives to ease the upward pressures on food prices in the longer run.

-StarBiz By GANESHWARAN KANA ganeshwaran@thestar.com.my

 Related:

Poultry players' earnings to improve slightly 

 

Come up with a real food plan, urge consumer groups

 

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CLICK TO ENLARGE DEPRESSED wages, and a rising cost of living – these are the biggest tribulations facing the man on the street these days...

Friday 6 May 2022

Experts urge removal of US extra tariffs, Elimination of China tariffs will be key

Expert: U.S. is damaging itself for putting tariffs on China

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Removing additional tariffs on Chinese goods will significantly ease the pressure on companies in both China and the United States, and help the world to curb inflation, experts said on Wednesday (May 4).

Their remarks followed the Office of the United States Trade Representative, or USTR, announcement on Tuesday of the commencement of the statutory four-year review of the continuation of the US "Section 301" tariffs on Chinese products.

In the four-year review, the USTR will examine the tariff actions on Chinese-origin products from July 6, 2018 to Aug 23, 2018.

Based on this review, the US government can determine whether to maintain the tariffs, change the tariff rates, or remove the tariffs.

In the first quarter of this year, China-US trade grew 12 percent year-on-year to $185.92 billion, data from China's General Administration of Customs showed.

According to Tu Xinquan, dean of the China Institute for WTO Studies at the University of International Business and Economics in Beijing, the additional US tariffs on Chinese products have put heavy burdens on US companies and aggravated inflation levels in the country.

In the US, many businesses involved in trade have been seeking rollback of the additional tariffs on Chinese products.

Besides, many of the tariffs were levied through administrative orders rather than being based on relevant laws. This led to a series of complaints and lawsuits that challenged the authority of those orders issued by the former administration, he said.

In the two-step review process, the first step is for the USTR to offer an opportunity for US domestic industries that benefited from the tariffs to request their continuation. Legally, the tariffs are to terminate four years after their application, if no US party submits a request that they be continued.

If there are requests to continue, the tariffs are received, under the statute the following step requires the USTR to undertake a review of the effectiveness of the "Section 301" tariffs on achieving their objectives and their impact on the US economy and consumers.

Cancelling the additional tariffs on Chinese products will also help many parts of the world to curb inflation, because stable product and commodity supplies from China and the US – the world's two largest economies – will facilitate the world to build strong industrial and supply chains, said Zhang Yongjun, deputy chief economist with the China Center for International Economic Exchanges.

As the US dollar is a global currency, the increase in its supply, which far outpaced that of other global currencies like the euro, directly pushed up prices in the US, besides fueling inflation worldwide, which has been exacerbated by the Russia-Ukraine conflict, he noted.

Amid global inflation and growing pressures on the global supply chain, tariffs have become an inconvenient factor that inhibits enterprises from conducting international trade cooperation, said Zhou Mi, a senior researcher at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation in Beijing.

China and the US, he said, should not only remove additional tariffs imposed during their trade disputes, but even further reduce tariffs to make them even lower than the pre-dispute levels. That will significantly boost expectations on normal global supply chain operations, bolster market confidence and facilitate global economic recovery.

"As the world's two largest economies, healthy bilateral relations between China and the US are important not only to them but the world, as the global economy has been facing a number of uncertainties in recent years," he said.

Woody Guo, president for China unit at Herbalife Nutrition, a US-based manufacturer of nutrition products, said it is beneficial for China and the US to enhance their ties in the area of trade and economic cooperation.

"In China, consumption upgrade and domestic demand expansion will help the country to grow its consumer base under the dual-circulation development paradigm, providing huge growth potential for foreign enterprises, including Herbalife Nutrition," Guo said. 

  Source link.   

Elimination of China tariffs will be key 


Easing restrictions: The US and Chinese flags outside a hotel in Beijing. American tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars of Chinese imports are due to expire in July, but could be extended if enough industries ask for an extension. — AFP

WASHINGTON: The United States government should eliminate or at least reduce additional tariffs on Chinese imports imposed during the Trump administration, a US trade expert says, arguing that such trade liberalisation measures will help lower elevated inflation and stabilise inflation expectations.

“Here, we’re running a red hot economy. So anything you can do to reduce that cycle is good news,” Gary Hufbauer, non-resident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE), told Xinhua in a recent phone interview.

In a research published on PIIE’s website, Hufbauer and his colleagues Megan Hogan and Yilin Wang argued that “a feasible trade liberalisation package” could deliver a one-time reduction in consumer price index (CPI) inflation of around 1.3 percentage points. That would save US$797 (RM3,467) for every US household.

He said the direct effect of eliminating additional tariffs on Chinese products would be a 0.3 percentage point reduction in the CPI, but there would also be indirect effect, which will add “substantially” to the 0.3 percentage point.

“It would be a pretty big signal to US firms that they are going to face more competition and that might cause them to moderate their price increases as inflation rolls forward,” said the long time trade expert.

“We’re in a world now where inflation expectations are really quite high,” Hufbauer said, noting that US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate hikes would have some effect on inflation expectations, and trade liberalisation measures “would have an additional effect.”

Stabilising inflation expectations is important, he said, because when expectations are that inflation is going to continue, “that then feeds into wage demands and that then keeps the cycle going.”

According to the latest data from the US Labour Department, the CPI in March surged 8.5% from a year earlier, the largest 12-month increase since the period ending December 1981. That followed a 7.9% year-on-year gain in February.

US personal consumption expenditures price indexes, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, soared by 6.6% in March over the past year, the Commerce Department reported on Friday.

In reaction to the argument that reducing the China tariffs would not lead to a meaningful reduction in prices, Hufbauer said it doesn’t completely eliminate the inflation problem, “but it’s better than doing nothing.”

“So there’s raising interest rates, there’s cutting back federal spending, there’s reducing tariffs, all of those things have some impact,” he said. “I would say it’s something where every little bit counts.”

Regarding the current political environment, Hufbauer said he thinks it will be difficult for the administration to reduce or eliminate additional tariffs on Chinese imports before the mid-term elections, but he hopes that it will do that.

The trade expert said he is “very encouraged” by a recent statement by Deputy National Security Adviser Daleep Singh, who said the Biden administration could lower tariffs on non-strategic Chinese goods such as bicycles or apparel to help curb inflation.Hufbauer noted that the Biden administration could be reluctant to remove the Trump-era tariffs, because it would have to face criticism for being “soft” on China.

 Source link.    

Related:

Malaysia's 1Q18 to 4Q21 GDP performance, International scenario likely to affect trajectory

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International scenario likely to affect trajectory

“Hopefully we will start to see private investments gaining traction, but this depends very much also on what is going on in the international front, especially in terms of the Russia-ukraine war and global inflation.” Carmelo Ferlito

Despite being on a recovery path, the country’s economic growth trajectory could be affected by uncertainties on the global front. 

PMalaysia’s gradual and controlled easing of Covid-19 restrictions as it transitions into edemicity is set to give the country’s economy a much needed boost.

Despite being on the recovery path, economists have however cautioned that Malaysia’ economic growth trajectory could still be affected by uncertainties on the global front.

Malaysia University of Science and Technology professor Geoffrey Williams said the ongoing Russia-ukraine war, China’s lockdowns and likely austerity in the United States and Europe are key factors that could have an impact on Malaysia’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth.

“The expected negative outlook of the international economic scenario will determine the outcome of Malaysia’s second quarter GDP, not Covid-19 and borders reopening, which we expect to play a marginal role in this phase,” he told Starbiz.

In a base case scenario (which refers to a set of basic assumptions where the results would lead to the most realistic outcome), Williams said Malaysia’s second quarter GDP is forecast to increase 1.3% quarter-on-quarter and 2.6% year-on-year.

“This scenario implies that the GDP will be flat over the first half of 2022. This is in contrast to the consensus view of a rampant recovery with a yearly growth figure close to 5.5% and 6%. In our base scenario, we think that a 3.5% year growth is more likely.” 

 Malaysia University of Science and Technology professor Geoffrey Williams said the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, China’s lockdowns and likely austerity in the United States and Europe are key factors that could have an impact on Malaysia’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth.Malaysia University of Science and Technology professor Geoffrey Williams said the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, China’s lockdowns and likely austerity in the United States and Europe are key factors that could have an impact on Malaysia’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth.

In a risk scenario, Williams said he foresees Malaysia’s GDP “going into slightly negative territory”.

“In our base scenario, we expect to see a systematic and progressive recovery, consistent with the potential rate of growth of the economy only in the second half of 2022.

“The contribution of the external demand is expected to be close to zero, reflecting the international cyclical weakness we are already observing in the US, European Union and China,” he said.

Malaysia, which has been gradually easing its Covid-19-related standard operating procedures since late last year, finally reopened its borders to international travellers from April 1.

Last week, Health Minister Khairy Jamaluddin announced a slew of relaxations to Malaysia’s Covid-19 restrictions.

Centre for Market Education chief executive officer Carmelo Ferlito said the relaxation measures announced recently would be a good incentive for the tourism industry.

However, he said the impact of the relaxations would likely be better reflected in the third quarter of this year, rather than in the current (second) quarter.

“We can still expect a good momentum for export, pulled by a weaker currency (which is temporarily good for export but harmful for the economy in general).

“Hopefully we will start to see private investments gaining traction, but this depends very much also on what is going on in the international front, especially in terms of the Russiaukraine war and global inflation.”

Malaysia’s GDP expanded 3.1% in 2021, after posting a 3.6% year-on-year growth in the fourth quarter of last year.

In a base case scenario, HELP University economist Dr Paolo Casadio said Malaysia’s first quarter 2022 GDP is projected to shrink 1.5% quarter-on-quarter and contract 0.7% year-on-year

Centre for Market Education chief executive officer Carmelo Ferlito said the relaxation measures announced recently would be a good incentive for the tourism industry. 

Centre for Market Education chief executive officer Carmelo Ferlito said the relaxation measures announced recently would be a good incentive for the tourism industry.

“This would be due to contraction in investments, negative net external demand and stagnation in private consumption.

“We do not see a clear pattern in private consumption and investments, which would be consistent with a positive transition of the economy toward a systematic and sustained recovery.”

Casadio added that the current phase of recovery is “a delicate transition”.

“There are plenty of weaknesses and risks of a new recessionary phase, although the risk of a recession is only around 25%. Disposable income and wealth among households are not recovering due to weak real wages growth, slow increase in employment and continuing withdrawals from the Employees’ Provident Fund to finance current expenditure, even among the middle-income population.”

Ferlito, meanwhile, said he was “not a big fan of GDP forecasts” when asked about his projections for Malaysia’s economic performance for the first quarter of 2022.

“It’s because they fail to ignore how an eventual growth or decline is built. For example, GDP grew in 2021 by 3.1%, but that growth was mainly driven by government spending and private consumption.

“This means that growth is resting on very unstable pillars, being basically financed by household and government debt and inflation.”

Ferlito emphasised that private investments remained “quite stagnant” in 2021.

“The key drivers of a sustainable growth path are savings, which are not measured by GDP and private investments. “I think that beyond the GDP figure, which in itself is pretty useless, we should look at the microfoundations behind it. We will be on the right path if private investments grow, while a closer look should also be devoted to the savings dynamics, which is not captured by the GDP.”Ferlito noted that Bank Negara foresees a good rebound in private investments for 2022.

“This is what we need to hope for, although I believe that a lot of elements of uncertainty are still weighing on that, in particular for the first quarter of 2022.”

Ferlito said the political situation in Malaysia could also have an impact on the country’s GDP performance.

“Hopefully we will have elections with the emergence of a strong majority supported by a reformist agenda. Then there is the big issue of China, which in 2021 accounted for 15.5% of Malaysian exports. China is Malaysia’s first trade partner and therefore their utopic approach to Covid-19 will surely have an impact on our economy.”

Ferlito added that geopolitical uncertainties in Europe could also have an impact on Malaysia’s economic performance.

“Europe accounts for around 7% of the international trade of Malaysia, both in terms of import and export. Troubles there will lead to repercussions here.”

Williams said the focus at the moment should be on price stability and maintaining expansionary credit conditions.

“The government has managed the containment of inflation well up to now, through the control of petrol and other prices. But it was an error to allow the hike of the electric tariffs for the non-residential users in March. This is adding perhaps 0.5% to the outlook of inflation in a very critical phase.”

Williams said this hike should be reversed to guarantee a low level of inflation, which is necessary to support the purchasing power of salaries.

“This would be possible by redistributing the gains and costs of the increase in oil and gas that the different government-linked companies are experiencing and avoids penalising firms and households.”

Casadio meanwhile said he expects Bank Negara to maintain the current expansionary conditions and not revise the official interest rate of the monetary policy until the second half of 2022. 

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Saturday 23 April 2022

Boao Forum for Asia Annual Conference 2022: Only true multilateralism can benefit the world, Xi proposes Global Security Initiative, sends signal of peace, stability amid global turmoil


 
Chinese President Xi Jinping delivers a keynote speech via video at the opening ceremony of the Boao Forum for Asia Annual Conference 2022, on April 21, 2022.(Photo: Xinhua) Chinese President Xi Jinping delivers a keynote speech via video at the opening ceremony of the Boao Forum for Asia Annual Conference 2022, on April 21, 2022.(Photo: Xinhua)

The Boao Forum for Asia Annual Conference 2022 is being held in Boao, Hainan Province, from April 20 to April 22. The theme of this year's forum is "The World in COVID-19 and Beyond: Working Together for Global Development and A Shared Future." In a keynote speech delivered at the opening ceremony of the forum on Thursday, Chinese President Xi Jinping proposed a Global Security Initiative, emphasizing the need to uphold "true multilateralism" and that it is particularly important for major countries to lead by example in honoring equality, cooperation, good faith and the rule of law, and act in a way befitting their status.

At present, the changes in the world, the times, and history are unfolding in an unprecedented way. At a time when unprecedented global changes are combined with a once-in-a-century pandemic, the world is at the crossroads of unity or division, cooperation or confrontation, upholding justice or hegemony. Xi's emphasis on "true multilateralism" is of great significance for lighting the way forward for international society to move on and promote peaceful development.

What is true multilateralism? It is, after all, that international affairs should be handled by all through consultations and the future and destiny of the world will be jointly decided by all countries. Such "true multilateralism" cannot be separated from the United Nations, therefore we must firmly safeguard the international system with the UN at its core; it cannot be separated from the international law, so we must unwaveringly uphold the international order underpinned by international law; it cannot be separated from global cooperation, so major powers need to lead by example in upholding justice, enforcing the rule of law, taking responsibility, and focusing on actions.

When representatives from 42 countries and regions were discussing regional solidarity and cooperation at the Boao forum, Washington was hosting the G20 Finance Ministers and the Central Bank Governors meeting. Finance ministers of countries including the US and Canada walked out when the Russian delegate spoke, staging a show of "political protest"at an international multilateral economic cooperation forum. The US supports a draft resolution to adjust the use of the veto by permanent members of the UN Security Council. All those acts are weakening and jeopardizing multilateralism and multilateral mechanisms.

In stark contrast, Asia is "climbing the hill together and going down the ravine together" and making "sugarcane and lemongrass grow in dense clumps." In 2021, the region withstood the pressure of the raging COVID-19 pandemic and led the global economic recovery. Measured by purchasing power parity, Asia accounted for 47.4 percent of the world's economy in 2021. From taking the lead in advocating the Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence and the Bandung Spirit, to jointly promoting the signing of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement, Asian countries have made maintaining and practicing multilateralism in the region to transform from an experiment to a model, through all-round and broad-based win-win cooperation.

However, for Washington accustomed to creating rivals and stirring up trouble around the world to gain benefits, the stability and prosperity of Asia have become a thorn in its flesh. To seize the moral high ground and sugarcoat its geopolitical ambitions, Washington has even packaged its so-called Indo-Pacific Strategy as "multilateralism." It also has attempted to disturb regional peaceful development by strengthening its "multilateral mechanisms," including its "quadrilateral mechanism" and "trilateral security partnership." If we want to practice "true multilateralism," we must be wary of and oppose such "fake multilateralism."

It is clear that a lot of unrest, division, and poverty have been created in different parts of the world under practices of prioritizing one country's interests, making coteries that uphold hegemony, treating international rules as a tool for the interests of one nation, using a certain country's interests as the criteria, and engaging in "selective multilateralism." The US is still using the Russia-Ukraine conflict to further divide the world into camps and keeps pressuring neutral countries to "take sides." Such a "fake multilateralism" sometimes is deceptive to some extent, but more and more countries have seen through it and denied any attempts to stir up troubles globally or seize geopolitical "fruits."

As a Chinese saying goes, "Power may win for the time being, but justice will prevail for the long run." All countries across the world are in the same boat with a shared destiny. We must work together to sail through the stormy seas to a bright future. Any attempt to throw whoever into the sea is unacceptable. From the Global Development Initiative to the Global Security Initiative, China has always been a firm practitioner of true multilateralism. History will continue to prove that such a choice is on the right side of the history and on the side of human progress.

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 Xi proposes Global Security Initiative at Boao Forum, 'sends signal of peace, stability amid global turmoil’...

Solidarity stressed amid global changes, injects confidence in economic recovery

Xi proposes Global Security Initiative at Boao Forum, 'sends signal of peace, ...

Chinese President Xi Jinping proposed a global security initiative which stressed a commitment to the vision of common, comprehensive, cooperative ...

China's perspective on security for countries in the world. Graphic: GT 

Chinese President Xi Jinping delivered a keynote speech via video link at the opening ceremony of the Boao Forum for Asia Annual Conference 2022 held in Boao, Hainan Province. Here are some highlights of his remarks (4/12)


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China's multilateralism pledge at Boao Forum helps safeguard world security amid pandemic, conflict

China's commitment to multilateralism and opening-up is reassuring to a world faced with rising security risks, academics and delegates attending the Boao Forum for Asia (BFA) 2022 said on Wednesday, as the international forum amid a new round of epidemic ...

Multilateralism, regional integration will ease supply chain problems: Boao Forum

The ongoing global supply chain crisis should be tackled by the major economies leading by example through multilateral consultation, economists and delegates attending the Boao Forum for Asia 2022 said.

 

Boao Forum is a Chinese message about world collaboration in the post-pandemic era: envoy

Despite global challenges, the Boao Forum for Asia held in South China's Hainan Province, sent the world an important message of global collaboration and development while addressing new opportunities in Asian regional cooperation to overcome economic hurdles in the post-pandemic era, the Mongolian Ambassador to China said on Thursday.

 

Related posr:

 

BOAO Forum 2016: Asia's New Future - New Dynamics, New Vision

Wednesday 13 April 2022

US forces other countries pay for its economic problems with monetary policy tightening: experts

If the US really acts wildly on China over the Ukraine issue, Chinese people will just face it

 China feels cascading effects with dropping stocks

With its stock market jumping, the dollar strengthening, and global capital flowing in, the US is again reaping profits but bringing financial shockwaves to foreign countries, whether they are what it claims are rivals, like China, or allies, like the EU, by tightening its monetary policy, experts observed.

As the Fed policy tightening accelerates, analysts said that the US is increasingly turning into a world "damager" instead of "protector" when the country finds its global responsibilities clash with its own national interests, and the world is paying the price for the US' domestic problems, like surging inflation.

In recent days, the side effects of US monetary policy, particularly the Fed's hawkish push for raising interest rates, have spread to multiple regions of the world and multiple financial areas.

The US Dollar Index is turning up sharply, at one point touching a ceiling of 100.19 on Friday, the highest level since May 2020. Accompanied by the rise is the weakening of global currencies including the yen, the euro and the yuan.

Global stock and bond markets are also sliding. The 10-year US Treasury yield topped its Chinese equivalent on Monday for the first time in 12 years.

The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index slipped by 2.61 percent on Monday, the Hong Kong-based Hang Seng Index dropped by more than 3 percent, and the Japanese Nikkei 225 was down 1.81 percent on Tuesday.

Contractions on global financial markets are generally considered to be a result of the Fed's move to increase interest rates recently, the first time in more than three years. Investors are betting on more aggressive rate hikes in the coming months after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell vowed tough action to rein in inflation during a recent speech at the National Association for Business Economics.

The US government has stepped on the gas to drive up interest rates to contain inflation. The US Consumer Price Index jumped by 8.5 percent on a yearly basis in March, touching a 40-year-high due to rising oil, food and housing costs. The growth beat market expectations of 8.4 percent.

However, Chinese experts criticized the US for shifting the burden of its own economic problems to global markets.

"The US is letting global markets pay the price for its own crisis of inflation, depending on the dominant role of the US dollar and the integration of the global economy," Li Haidong, a professor from the China Foreign Affairs University, told the Global Times.

According to Li, the countries holding massive US dollar assets will feel the pinch from Fed's tightening, but the blow will be even more vital for countries that have a vulnerable social system, as the US action might bring havoc to social stability there.

He also said that when the US government sees a clash between its global responsibility and its own interests, it does not feel guilt in choosing the latter.

"The US' role in the world is turning from that of a protector to a kind of damager, as it thinks that globalization is bad for its own interests," Li said.

Even countries that are in the same league as the US won't escape the US' profit-seeking moves, experts said.

Xi Junyang, a professor at the Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, told the Global Times that the US is adding fuel to the flames of the Ukraine crisis, in order to strengthen its position in the so-called Western alliance, as well as further enhance the role of the greenback after investors saw Europe was not secure.

A direct consequence of this strategy is a weaker EU, both businesswise and politically, as the region's independence is undermined, while the military chaos also hurts the region's energy supplies and the euro's attraction to international investors.

Xi said that US monetary policy shifts will put pressure on the Chinese mainland's financial markets, especially as the mainland expands connections with the Hong Kong stock market, which is more vulnerable to US financial volatility.

However, Xi stressed that the impact on the mainland markets won't be severe because of capital flow restrictions, and China's independent monetary policy will not be swayed by external factors like the US Fed's decisions.

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Call for true multilateralism | The Star   

https://www.thestar.com.my/aseanplus/aseanplus-news/2022/04/13/call-for-true-multilateralism

Monday 21 February 2022

More opportunities for job seekers


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KUALA LUMPUR: The JaminKerja Keluarga Malaysia initiative will support the government’s goal of reducing the unemployment rate by providing 600,000 job opportunities this year, says the Prime Minister.
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Datuk Seri Ismail Sabri Yaakob said these would be provided via an allocation of RM4.8bil, which is a key thrust under Budget 2022 on job creation.
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“The JaminKerja Keluarga Malaysia initiative is the manifestation of the government’s commitment to providing more employment opportunities and more sustainable economic development to drive the country’s recovery efforts in a structured manner and to contribute towards strengthening the national labour market.
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“Malaysia is on the right track in its economic recovery efforts through the creation of more employment opportunities to fulfil the needs of the labour market,” he said at the launch of the JaminKerja Keluarga Malaysia initiative themed “Keluarga Malaysia, Makmur Sejahtera” and JaminKerja Keluarga Malaysia Career Carnival 2022 at the KL Convention Centre here yesterday.

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The JaminKerja Keluarga Malaysia (Malaysian Family Job Guarantee) initiative is a collaboration between the Finance Ministry, Economic Implementation and National Strategic Coordination Agency, Human Resources Ministry, Social Security Organisation (Socso) and Human Resource Development Corporation (HRD Corp).
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Also present at the launch were Finance Minister Tengku Datuk Seri Zafrul Tengku Abdul Aziz and Human Resources Minister Datuk Seri M. Saravanan.
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The initiative consists of three main programmes, the first of which is the JaminKerja Employment Initiative that will be implemented by Socso with a target of providing about 300,000 job opportunities.
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The second is the Malaysia Short-Term Employment Programme (MySTEP) that will offer 80,000 job opportunities in the public sector, government-linked companies and strategic partners.
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The third is the Upskill Malaysia programme implemented by HRD Corp to provide practical skills training for job seekers to improve their marketability and provide guaranteed job placements.
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About 220,000 trainees will be targeted.
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Ismail Sabri said the JaminKerja Employment Initiative will also focus on efforts to encourage employers to hire especially individuals who were not actively working such as the unemployed, and vulnerable groups consisting of the disabled, former prisoners, the elderly and women who were unemployed for a long time.
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“This is to ensure that no group is left out,” he added.
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Ismail Sabri said once employers are given the incentive to hire, job seekers could use the MyFutureJobs platform to get job matches and fill the vacancies that are offered, adding that incentives will be given to employers who employ locals to fill jobs that used to be filled by foreign workers or expatriates.
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The government, he said, is committed to helping the entrepreneurial community, which hires and creates job opportunities, so that they could continue to grow and rebuild their business through the Semarak Niaga initiative worth RM40bil.
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The Prime Minister added that the Human Resources Ministry, too, has planned 312 open interview programmes and employment carnivals throughout the year.
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“The JaminKerja Keluarga Malaysia Career Carnival is the curtain-raiser for 2022 and is the first to be organised in the country, offering more than 12,000 job opportunities from 50 employers from various industries,” he said.
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To reduce the skills mismatch gap, Ismail Sabri urged the industry to implement better recruitment strategies by taking into account social changes including a more flexible work environment.
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“As the National Employment Council (NEC) chairman, I am confident that the efforts of the NEC in enhancing the momentum of job creation as well as boosting the job market will be able to continue through the JaminKerja Keluarga Malaysia initiative, which in turn will also strengthen the Malaysian Family household income, especially underprivileged groups, and the B40 and M40,” he said. 

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Saturday 19 February 2022

Yuan’s global popularity keeps rising

 

Growing acceptance: A bank employee counting 100-yuan notes in Nantong, China’s eastern Jiangsu province. Usage of the currency has jumped in the past three months as international funds boosted holdings of Chinese government bonds. — AFP
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BEIJING: The Chinese yuan is making deeper inroads as a currency of choice for global payments, with international transactions climbing to their highest level ever.
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Payments using the currency jumped to a record 3.2% of market share, according to data from the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications, breaking through its previous high set in 2015 that came on the back of a currency devaluation in a bid to increase exports.
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Usage has jumped in the past three months as international funds boosted holdings of Chinese government bonds, pushing their share to a fresh record, and amid gas producer Gazprom Neft’s decision to accept yuan rather than dollars for fuelling the Russian airplanes at China’s airports.
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The People’s Bank of China governor Yi Gang urged emerging economies to promote the use of local currencies at a Group-of-20 central banks’ gathering Wednesday, echoing a similar call from Indonesia to reduce reliance on the dollar to manage the risk of Federal Reserve’s stimulus withdrawal.
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The yuan will be one of the biggest beneficiaries as “trade between various Asian countries and China grows, and more of it is denominated in yuan,” said Alvin T. Tan, head of Asia FX strategy at Royal Bank of Canada in Hong Kong.
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Yuan’s growing popularity could also provide additional support for assets denominated in the currency, even as China’s yield premium over the United States narrows due to policy divergence between the two nations. She expects the yuan to be assigned a larger share in the International Monetary Fund’s reevaluation of Special Drawing Rights basket in July.
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The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership trade deal that deepens China’s regional foreign trade ties will also prompt member nations to raise yuan asset holdings due to further economic integration with China, she wrote in a note Wednesday.
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The currency retained its fourth place in the past two months, compared with being the 35th most-popular medium of exchange for payments in October 2010 when Swift, which handles cross-border payment messages for more than 11,000 financial institutions in 200 countries, started tracking.
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Despite its rise in the rankings and having upped its market share by orders of magnitude over the last 12 years, the yuan is still dwarfed in popularity by its more established peers, notably the US dollar and the euro.
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The dollar kept its top spot in January, a position it’s held since June, even though its market share fell to about 39.9% from 40.5% in December.
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The euro also lost ground but held onto second place, while the British pound and yen rounded out the top five in third and fifth place, respectively. — Bloomberg

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