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Thursday 30 May 2024

China to be pioneer in building new global financial system: scholars

 

A view of Shanghai Photo: VCG

China will be a pioneer leading the world into a new and innovative financial and monetary system, as global calls for an overhaul of the Bretton Woods system - which has been in place for 80 years - gain traction due to the US abuse of the dollar's hegemony and its irresponsible policy, as well as a fragmenting global economy, Chinese and foreign scholars said.

The new financial system is envisioned to be one based on a diversified set of currencies rather than a single currency, they noted. It will be an open, inclusive system where the voices of emerging market economies would be better represented, and it will enable countries to join hands to promote global economic growth and financial stability. 

The comments were made at the 2024 Tsinghua PBCSF Global Finance Forum in Hangzhou city in East China's Zhejiang Province. The two-day event concluded on Tuesday. This year, the forum was themed "80 Years after Bretton Woods: Building an International Monetary and Financial System For All."

"A system as old as Bretton Woods built after a world war is not the right proxy for the future forever and needs to be adapted… The world is undergoing geopolitical tensions, wars, demographic challenges and a climate crisis. We need to have one system going forward that includes everybody," Andreas Dombret, a global senior advisor at Oliver Wyman and former board member of the Deutsche Bundesbank, told the Global Times on the sidelines of the forum. 

Dynamic emerging market economies such as China and India have grown in importance in the past decades, which needs to be reflected in their quotas in the IMF, he said.

Taking account of how the US has been weaponizing and abusing its dollar hegemony by imposing unilateral sanctions on other countries, attendees of the forum expressed hopes that a less dollar-centric system could be created from both a theoretical and pragmatic point of view. 

The Federal Reserve's policies to deal with US inflation and a recession, which have had negative spillover effects on the world, have raised widespread concerns over an excessive reliance on a single currency.  

"The Americans changed the Bretton Woods System in favor of the American economy [during the 80 years of development]. But we cannot sustain a global financial system based only on the one national currency, which is unsustainable," György Matolcsy, governor of the Central Bank of Hungary, told the Global Times in an exclusive interview on Monday. 

A view of the 2024 Tsinghua PBCSF Global Finance Forum in Hangzhou, East China's Zhejiang Province, on May 28, 2024. The two-day forum ended on Tuesday. Photo: Li Xuanmin/GT

A view of the 2024 Tsinghua PBCSF Global Finance Forum in Hangzhou, East China's Zhejiang Province, on May 28, 2024. The two-day forum ended on Tuesday. Photo: Li Xuanmin/GT



 

Massimiliano Castelli, managing director and head of strategy at UBS, said at a panel discussion on Monday that he has heard the view that although the US has mature financial markets and institutional credit, it is not a safe haven given its hegemonic positioning and reckless weaponization of its currency. If the world is subject to more geopolitical fluctuations, other countries may opt to reduce their reliance on the US dollar. 

While the US dollar remains the world's most frequently used currency, de-dollarization has been gaining momentum, especially in emerging markets.

For example, China and Brazil agreed last year to trade in their currencies. In addition, a number of other countries including Russia, Malaysia, India, Saudi Arabia, Ghana and the United Arab Emirates have moved to settle trade in their local currencies.

As the global financial governance system is at a crossroads of adjustment and transformation, the scholars expect China -  an active participant in global financial governance and policy coordination - to play a prominent role in making globalization more open, inclusive, balanced and mutually beneficial.

Although the yuan has a limited role in the international monetary system, it is expected to compete with the US dollar and become a substitute in the long run, they said. 

"If the internalization of the yuan moves forward smoothly, the new system will be based on not only the US dollar but also on the euro and the yuan," Ju Jiandong, chair professor at the PBC School of Finance in Tsinghua University, told the Global Times. 

The yuan accounts for a growing share of international payments. In March, the figure hit a record of 4.69 percent, up from 4 percent a month earlier, remaining the world's fourth most active currency ahead of the yen, data from global payment services provider Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication showed. 

"I hope that we have a joint effort so that the global economy would not fall into two parts where one is competing with the other and making the global economy less effective. It would be best to have a global system that is deemed to be fair by everybody rather than having competing systems, which means a loss of competitiveness and a lot of loss of effectiveness," Dombret said.  

Germany's central bank added the yuan to its currency reserves in 2018, a decision that Dombret said was significant, and he is confident that the share of the yuan in the mix of currency reserves will "grow."

Matolcsy suggested that Asian economies such as China, Japan, South Korea, India and Indonesia could create an Asian basket for central banks' digital currencies, offering the world a new border financial transaction system.

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Tuesday 28 May 2024

Xi's China EV dream is coming true

 

In pole position: Sales staff stand near the Seagull electric vehicle from BYD at a showroom in Beijing. The car, launched last year, sells for around US$12,000 in China and rivals US-made EVs that cost three times as much. — AP

HONG KONG: Ten years ago almost to the day, while checking out a handful of luxury sedans from one of China’s largest automakers SAIC Motor Corp, President Xi Jinping gave a pivotal speech that would set China on the course to dominate the electric vehicle (EV) industry.

The path to becoming a strong automaking nation lies in developing new-energy vehicles, Xi said, according to a 2014 Xinhua report.

Claiming a head start, or “high ground,” in this sector is key to the competition globally, Xi said.

In 2014, China sold around 75,000 EVs and hybrids, and exported about 533,000 cars.

The domestic market was dominated by international manufacturers such as Volkswagen AG and General Motors Co, which were allowed to enter by forming joint ventures with local players in the 1980s and 1990s.

This helped China transform from a bike-riding nation to a car-driving one.

Homegrown carmakers and brands that didn’t work with foreign partners were seen as inferior and lagging behind in engine and other automotive technology.

To get ahead and tackle environmental challenges, Beijing bet on fuel efficient and alternative energy vehicles.

The state had published a guideline in 2012 that established ways to develop the industry by setting sales goals, providing subsidies and allocating resources for building charging infrastructure, among other things.

Xi’s speech two years later signalled China’s determination to use this as a way leapfrog traditional Western and Asian auto powerhouses, in particular Japan, home to Toyota Motor Corp.

With the stage set, China needed a catalyst to spur consumer interest in EVs, which in the early 2010s were mostly cheap cars with short ranges.

That ended up being Tesla Inc, which became the first foreign automaker to set up a wholly owned operation in China.

With that special permission, Tesla completed its Shanghai factory in 2019. Its entry into the market motivated local players to come up with better EVs with longer ranges.

Fast forward to 2024, and China has become the world’s largest auto market and sells more electrified vehicles than any other country, with 9.5 million cars delivered last year.

It also controls the majority of the battery supply chain. Homegrown champion BYD Co dethroned Volkswagen to become the best-selling brand in China and in the last quarter of 2023, surpassed Tesla as the world’s largest producer of EVs.

China also overtook Japan as the largest auto exporter, sending 4.14 million units abroad with 1.55 million of them being EVs or plug-in hybrids.

The achievements proved that Beijing’s industrial policy and investments paid off. But they’re also adding to tensions with the West.

China’s success in EVs, which could disrupt traditional auto supply chains that employ millions of people, has become a key source of discomfort in Washington and Brussels.

As a price war at home and slowing growth drives Chinese automakers to search for buyers for its affordable and tech-laden EVs elsewhere, they’re running into trade barriers, especially in the European Union (EU) and the United States, which are meanwhile trying to develop their own EV supply chains.

Both have accused China of exporting its excess capacity.

The United States has quadrupled import tariffs on Chinese cars to more than 100%, while the EU is investigating Chinese EVs to see if there has been an unfair advantage from government subsidies.

Brazil recently removed a tax break on imported EVs and even Russia, arguably Beijing’s strongest ally and the largest destination for Chinese auto exports since the war with Ukraine, has asked Chinese carmakers to consider localising production.

Beijing has threatened to hit back, with the China Chamber of Commerce to the EU on May 22 saying that the import tariffs on cars with large engines may be raised to 25% from 15%.

There’s a June 5 deadline for the EU to inform Chinese EV exporters of preliminary findings and whether tariffs will be imposed.

SAIC, the state-owned manufacturer whose facility Xi visited 10 years ago, happens to be one of the three Chinese automakers, along with BYD and Zhejiang Geely Holding Group Co, selected for further scrutiny by the EU in its anti-subsidy investigation.

SAIC owns the British-origin MG brand, which is one of the top selling EVs in Europe.

At an event marking the 10th anniversary of Xi’s speech last Friday, SAIC officials including chief engineer Zu Sijie said they’ve remembered the president’s instructions well, and the company has consistently innovated around technologies like smart driving and connected cars.

Li Zheng, the co-founder of SAIC Qingtao New Energy Technology Co, a battery startup backed by SAIC, took the opportunity to promise executives won’t be complacent as EV competition rises, noting that progress in solid-state batteries, which have a higher energy density and reduced fire risk, will be one way for China to maintain its edge.

“New-energy vehicles have become a strategic industry, fiercely contested by countries around world,” Li said. “They’re a key supporting force to our country’s revitalisation of green sectors.”

A lot can happen in 10 years, but with SAIC having invested about 150 billion yuan (US$21bil) into research and development over the past decade alone, even despite trade wars, 2034 looks bright. — Bloomberg

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Monday 27 May 2024

America as a third world country

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Capitol Police and the Nation al Guard on alert at Capitol Hill a day after a pro-Trump mob broke into the US Capitol, Washington DC , on Jan 7, 2021. —AFP

FROM time to time, when something goes wrong in America, its politicians and media commentators would sometimes say the following lines or a variation thereof: “This is something you’d expect in a third world country.”

Having stayed in the United States for a big chunk of the past year, there are times when that line comes to mind. To be fair, I have also gained much more appreciation for this nation, including the cultural diversity fuelled by immigrants from every corner of the world; the Americans’ entrepreneurial spirit and resourcefulness; and the sheer loftiness of its democratic ideals, even if the country has struggled to live up to them. On a more personal note, I’ve also come to embrace its great outdoors, and the New Hampshire’s White Mountains have become a sanctuary.

But there are also moments of frustration and disappointment, during which I am tempted to invoke the “third world” trope. 

Coming from a country that is actually part of the so-called “third world,” I am acutely aware of how problematic and inaccurate the term is, in terms of how it reinforces a divide between the “first world” and the rest of the planet; how it perpetuates how “backward” (another problematic term) other countries are in relation to those that are “advanced”; and how the ability to even conceptualise the world in those simplistic terms comes from a position of unacknowledged privilege.

“From almost the beginning, New Orleans looked more like a Third World country than part of the US,” a news report on Hurricane Katrina back in 2005 went, as though the sight of devastated communities were a natural feature of countries like the Philippines, when it is the colonial condition that actually produced the conditions of such disasters; when it just so happened that America has been relatively spared from powerful storms until recently.

“There is nothing patriotic about what is occurring on Capitol Hill. This is 3rd world style anti-American anarchy,” US Senator Marco Rubio tweeted in the aftermath of the infamous Capitol attacks on Jan 6, 2021, as though America were immune to demagoguery, populism, and (gun) violence; as though America had no hand in anarchies and insurrections the world over.

As we can see, in these instances, the rhetorical uses of the US as a “third world country” are premised an even more problematic idea of American exceptionalism.

In some ways, though, America is indeed “third world,” just as in some ways, the Philippines is “first world” (and we can also just as easily replace those terms with whatever is preferable or acceptable: Global North and Global South; “developing” and “developed”; “high income” and “low and middle income”). These terms may have some utility in certain contexts, but in characterising countries and categorising the world they are essentially meaningless due to the inequality that has intensified both wealth and poverty within each nation.

In the Philippines, for instance, we see how commercial centres like Bonifacio Global City and Makati, even parts of Davao or Cebu, can rival the ritziest parts of America in terms of their restaurants and cafés, luxury apartments, and all the amenities that can be enjoyed by people who can afford them. We have “first world” schools and hospitals, too, completed with the necessary global credentials, readily available for those who have the ability to pay.

Conversely, America’s “third-worldness” is experienced mostly by the millions living from paycheck to paycheck; dispossessed Black, indigenous, and rural communities, in what the Massachusetts Institute of Technology economist Peter Temin calls the decline of middle America. Alongside the homelessness crisis in the Bay Area and in growing number of cities, public infrastructure is perhaps its most visible manifestation: While the uber-rich can fly on private jets, many Americans have to contend with ageing subways, trains, and airports.

More deeply, while billionaires are building ultra-high-tech “bunkers” as status symbols, many Americans face existential risks, from disasters like the wildfires in California and floods in Texas to the everyday violence from guns, criminality, and poverty. And while billions of dollars are spent in military spending and assistance – education and health care are under-prioritised and underfunded, with many African and Asian countries faring better than many US states in their Covid-19 responses and outcomes. Surely, America has much to learn from the rest of the world, in the same way that we also have much to learn from it.

The late medical anthropologist Paul Farmer referred to those on the receiving end of these conditions, in America and the rest of the “first world,” as constituting a “fourth world,” to underscore how vastly different their lived experiences are from their much wealthier counterparts.

But I don’t think we need more than one world to articulate our shared predicaments and the need for global solidarity – including toward the people of this beautiful land who deserve better public transport, health care, education, and quality of life. — Philippine Daily Inquirer/Asia News Network

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Saturday 25 May 2024

M’sian-born CEO paid more than tech titans

Leading the pack: Tan beats Cook, Musk and Zuckerberg in the analysis by the WSJ. — Photo from Broadcom Inc

Tan tops list of highest paid executives in the US last year 

PETALING JAYA: The highest-paid chief executive officer in the United States is neither Apple’s Tim Cook nor Tesla’s Elon Musk, but Malaysian-born businessman Tan Hock Eng.

Tan, 71, also surpassed Meta Platforms’ Mark Zuckerberg by earning US$162mil (about RM760mil) in compensation last year, according to South China Morning Post, which quoted an analysis by the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) this week.

“Tan, who is a US citizen, is the CEO of semiconductor company Broadcom Inc and has been topping the pay charts since 2006, receiving US$103mil in 2017,” said WSJ.

However, the pay package comes with several conditions, including the company’s stock hitting a certain level by next year. Tan must also remain as CEO for an additional five years, and he will not receive any more equity or cash bonuses during that period.

The semiconductor company’s shares rose 106% over the past 12 months, bringing its total market capitalisation to US$655bil (RM3 trillion).

Tan is also a board member of Meta Platforms, the US-based company that owns Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp among others.

Tan, who hails from Penang, completed his undergraduate studies in mechanical engineering at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

He also has a bachelor’s degree in electrical engineering from the National University of Singapore. He then earned a Master of Business Administration from Harvard University. After returning to Malaysia, he was involved with Hume Industries between 1983 and 1988.

He then moved to Singapore as managing director of venture capital firm Pacven Investment.

He reportedly relocated back to the United States in 1992 and assumed the role of vice-president of finance for PC maker Commodore International.

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Friday 24 May 2024

Loans, not grants to strengthen bumiputra economy

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‘Tougher’ approach: Rafizi said the pivot to providing credit instead would ensure applications from those who are serious about building a business. — Bernama

CYBERJAYA: In a break from past practices, the unity government is moving away from giving grants to bumiputra entrepreneurs. Instead, it will assist them with loans as part of its agenda to strengthen the community’s economy.

By getting entrepreneurs to pay back what they borrow, the government hopes to create a steady supply of funds that could benefit more such businessmen, said Rafizi Ramli.

Under the initiative, the government also hopes to build a sustainable business ecosystem producing the right kind of professionals and businesses that will see micro and small enterprises scaled up to create value, the Economy Minister told reporters after an event here yesterday featuring three of the ministry’s agencies tasked with bumiputra empowerment.

The agencies – Teraju, Ekuiti Nasional Berhad (Ekuinas) and Yayasan Peneraju (Peneraju) – have been realigned to focus their resources and energies on creating the bumiputra business ecosystem envisioned by the ministry.Rafizi emphasised that the “tougher” approach of building an ecosystem and assisting businesses with credit instead of grants, would be more effective at creating successful bumiputra firms.

“One of the differences (from the past) is focus. For instance, in the past, Teraju gave out grants to everyone, large or small. They did not focus on building an ecosystem,” Rafizi said.

“Peneraju also gave scholarships to every bumiputra who wanted to be professional, but it was up to them to decide what kind of professional they wanted to be.”

This approach, he said, “did not connect the dots” between the professional talent being nurtured and the grants being given out to entrepreneurs.

As part of its own realignment, Peneraju, which was previously tasked with creating bumiputra professionals such as chartered accountants and chartered financial analysts, will now focus on nurturing business leaders.

Peneraju chief executive officer Ibrahim Sani said that instead of just creating more professionals to join the workforce, the foundation’s new accelerator programme will train talent to start venture capital funds.

“This will hopefully create a cycle, and bumiputra entrepreneurs need people to invest in their companies,” he said during the event.

Similarly, Ekuinas, which previously concentrated on assisting large bumiputra companies to become listed on the stock market, will now offer loans and credit to mid-size businesses to enable them to scale up.

Ekuinas chief executive officer Datuk Syed Yasir Arafat Abd Kadir said this was because medium and small firms often had trouble getting loans from banks, which then hobbled their ability to expand.

On the strategy of providing credit instead of grants, Rafizi said this would ensure that only those who are serious about building a business would apply for the funds.

“If you give out a grant of RM500,000 to someone and, at the end of two years, he says the business flopped, that money would be wasted. It could’ve gone to so many other people.

“We want people who want to really do business because they have to repay what they borrowed. They will only take money if they are confident they can pay it back.

“We don’t want our funds to just go to 500 people; we want them to go to thousands, but in order to do that, we have to roll the money.”

Rafizi stated that this strategy would generate additional funds and opportunities for bumiputra firms to expand, enabling them to list on the stock market and achieve sustainability.

“We must work on the assets and the funds. It is controversial, but my hope is that people will know that a tougher approach is what is needed for bumiputra entrepreneurs to accelerate their competitiveness.”

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No grants 'not the right way'

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2024/05/22/no-grants-not-the-right-way

PETALING JAYA: Many bumiputra entrepreneurs have no problems accepting the government’s new approach of giving them loans instead of grants to grow their businesses.

However, the “harder approach” of doing away with grants under the bumiputra development agenda could result in a backlash from the community, they say.

“I think that this is not quite the right way of doing it,” said Malay Economic Action Council (MTEM) senior fellow Ahmad Yazid Othman.

“It must be understood that grants are given to those who may not be able to support themselves. I don’t think it would be welcomed by the community and may not have the right impact,” he said.

However, he said the council supported the announcements by Economy Minister Rafizi Ramli on the new approach.

Although the new approach could prevent abuses, Ahmad said the situation for bumiputra enterprises may not improve if the policy is ill-implemented.

On Monday, Rafizi announced that the unity government was moving away from giving grants to bumiputra entrepreneurs but would instead assist them with loans as part of its agenda to strengthen the community’s economy.

The minister said that by getting entrepreneurs to pay back what they borrow, the government hopes to create a steady supply of funds that could benefit more such businessmen.

Three agencies – Teraju, Ekuiti Nasional Berhad (Ekuinas) and Yayasan Peneraju (Peneraju) – will realign to focus their resources and energies on creating the bumiputra business ecosystem envisioned by the ministry.

Ahmad, who is also Malay Chamber of Commerce Malaysia secretary-general, lauded the move by Teraju to widen the scope of those in the eco-system that contribute towards the success of the new approach.

He also said the relevant ministries must not work in silos but should collaborate to ensure the success of programmes.

Malay Businessmen and Industrialists Association of Malaysia (Perdasama) president Mohd Azamanizam Baharon also said the grant scheme should be maintained but given out to bumiputra companies based on merit and high level of competency.

Grants via Teraju should still be made available, he said, particularly for bumiputra companies involved in the renewable energy sector. However, he too added that Perdasama agreed that bumiputra businesses should not rely solely on government grants or aid.

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