 Multi-sector economy:
 Malaysia’s economic performance has been strong, and it is often 
recognised as among the emerging economies that will have a prominent 
role on the world stage in the coming years
Multi-sector economy:
 Malaysia’s economic performance has been strong, and it is often 
recognised as among the emerging economies that will have a prominent 
role on the world stage in the coming years.
KUALA LUMPUR: The new year is just around the corner. In many ways, it will be
 a relief to say farewell to 2012, a year which has seen the advanced 
countries struggling amid seemingly unending economic and financial 
uncertainty.
Naturally, the tail-end of the year is a time to 
look ahead with hope and expectation. And indeed, there is growing 
optimism among investors about the global economy. However, is this 
realistic when some experts refuse to rule out the possibility of an 
overall contraction?
When presenting its 
Economic Outlook in
 late November, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and 
Development (OECD) warned that the global economy was expected to make 
“a hesitant and uneven recovery” over the coming two years.
OECD 
secretary-general Angel Gurra
 pointed out that we were not yet out of the woods. “The near-term 
outlook is not only weak, but also downside risks predominate. The 
lingering euro-area crisis remains a serious threat to the world 
economy. At the same time, if left unresolved, the US fiscal cliff' 
could tip the US economy into recession and weigh on global growth,” he 
added.
The eurozone is expected to see a 0.4% contraction this 
year and a further 0.1% fall in 2013. Even if the White House and 
congressional leaders can hammer out a short-term agreement on the 
budget that will avoid the fiscal cliff, growth in the United States is 
forecast to grow at 2% next year, down from the 2.6% forecasted in May.
With
 the United States and Europe battling to revive their economies, the 
OECD believes the world economy will grow by 3.4% in 2013, up from 2.9% 
this year.
This will likely be supported by the economic 
expansion of the likes of China, Brazil and India, although they too 
will be impacted by challenges faced in the West.
 < Gurria: ‘The near-term global outlook is not only weak, but also downside risks predominate
< Gurria: ‘The near-term global outlook is not only weak, but also downside risks predominate
Malaysia
 too will contribute to this forward momentum. Its economic performance 
has been strong, and it is often recognised as among the emerging 
economies that will have a prominent role on the world stage in the 
coming years.
The recent Country Brand Index (CBI) 2012-13, for 
example, ranks Malaysia as third among the Future 15 tomorrow's leading 
country brands that have “great potential across a variety of areas”.
Constructed
 annually by global brand consultancy FutureBrand, the CBI measures and 
ranks global perceptions around the world's nations based on elements 
such as their cultures, industries, economic vitality and public policy 
initiatives.
Economic reforms
This year is the 
first time that the index report incorporate the Future 15, which 
reflects six future drivers: governance, investment, human capital, 
growth, sustainability and influence.
Published last October, the 
CBI 2012-13 report notes: “Malaysia's workforce, tourism and vast resources may just be the secret to its success.”
That,
 of course, is not the full picture. A key component of the Malaysian 
success story has been the sound implementation of economic reforms 
since the nation's independence that has transformed an exporter of raw 
materials into an emerging, multi-sector economy driven by exports and 
supported by a well-developed regulatory system.
 Manokaran says the economy is still driven by domestic demand, led by private consumption
 Manokaran says the economy is still driven by domestic demand, led by private consumption
  
Forward-looking
 planning has enabled the Government to capitalise on the country's 
unique offering, including a rich heritage and scenic landscapes, to 
support a thriving tourism sector. Home to more than 15% of the world's 
species, Malaysia is one of the world's most bio-diverse areas.
The current emphasis is on climbing the the economic ladder, and this is done via Government-led initiatives such as the 
Government Transformation Programme (
GTP) and the 
Economic Transformation Programme (ETP), and a conscious effort to slowly liberalise sub-sectors of our economy.
Also
 crucial are a focus on building on the country's vast natural 
resources, a commitment to economic openness, and a concerted effort to 
drive investments in infrastructure and research and development. These 
are complemented by the encouragement of innovation in business and 
amongst the workforce, and the development of regional alliances.
Malaysia's
 economy has been resilient amid the challenging global economic 
conditions, with real gross domestic (GDP) product growth estimated at 
5.1% this year and 5% in 2013, according to the 
World Bank.
Its
 third-quarter performance surprised on the upside with GDP expansion 
beating economists' median expectations of 4.8%; year-on-year growth in 
the quarter was 5.2%, with domestic demand fuelling economic activity 
and compensating for the slower export demand from major trading 
partners affected by the ongoing economic woes.
Domestic demand 
in the third quarter continued to experience double-digit growth, 
increasing 11.4% from a year ago. The impetus for this was supplied by 
strong public and private sector investment.
Private investments 
were primarily driven by capital spending in the services sector, 
particularly in transportation, real estate and utilities, while public 
investments were mainly capital spending by public enterprises in 
transportation, oil and gas, education and utilities.
 < Zeti warns of some uncertainties in the export sector
 
Endless possibilities
 < Zeti warns of some uncertainties in the export sector
 
Endless possibilities
Commenting
 on Malaysia's third-quarter performance, Alliance Research chief 
economist Manokaran Mottain said the economy was still driven by 
domestic demand, led by private consumption and investment activities, 
which reflected the Government's drive to stimulate income growth, 
improve and develop infrastructure, and ensure a steady flow of foreign 
capital.
However, 
Bank Negara governor Tan Sri Dr Zeti Akhtar Aziz
 cautioned that although GDP growth in the fourth quarter was likely to 
continue that of the third quarter, there were some uncertainties in the
 export sector. The central bank estimates that growth for the whole of 
2012 will be at least 5%.
The experts are cautiously confident about Malaysia maintaining its economic performance in 2013. The recent 
Malaysia Economic Monitor,
 a report by the World Bank, said Malaysia's growth would likely weather
 a weak global environment and would grow robustly in 2013.
Public
 and private investments are expected to remain strong and lend support 
to economic growth in the new year. Private investment is forecasted to 
grow at 13.3% in 2013, up from 11.7% in 2012, driven by the rollout of 
the ETP. Public investment is forecasted to expand by 4.2% in 2013, as a
 result of higher capital outlays by non-financial public enterprises 
and development expenditure by the Federal Government .
The 
Finance Ministry has said the prospects for the services sector are 
expected to remain upbeat with the accelerated implementation of key 
initiatives under the National Key Results Area and continued investment
 in the seven services sub-sectors under the 
National Key Economic Areas.
These
 initiatives are geared towards driving the wholesale and retail trade, 
finance and insurance, and communication sub-sectors, which are 
forecasted to grow 6.8%, 5.2% and 8.2% in 2013.
Though the United
 States and Europe have some way to go before they can again enjoy 
pre-crisis growth rates, Malaysia looks set to stay on its stable 
trajectory of growth, benefiting from wise economic planning and a 
steady pace of growth.
A bright future lies ahead for Malaysia, a
 nation earmarked to become a force that will reshape the global 
landscape of tomorrow. As the country plays an increasingly important 
role, it will no doubt offer Malaysians and the world a destination for 
growth and endless possibilities.
By News Desk 
The Star/Asia News Network
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